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IMF raises UK growth forecast but warns of political uncertainty

IMF raises UK growth forecast but warns of political uncertainty

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its growth forecast for the UK economy on Monday but warned that growing domestic uncertainty and political instability could weigh on spending

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May 18, 2026
The ‘Thucydides Trap’: why a 2,500-year-old war loomed over the Trump-Xi summit

The ‘Thucydides Trap’: why a 2,500-year-old war loomed over the Trump-Xi summit

In 2015, Chinese President Xi Jinping used the term “Thucydides Trap” in Seattle before an audience that included former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. “There is no such

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May 16, 2026
Kevin Warsh’s Fed plans face debt market pressure

Kevin Warsh’s Fed plans face debt market pressure

Incoming Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh could face significant challenges in reducing the US central bank’s role in financial markets as rising federal debt and weakening demand advantages

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May 15, 2026
US industrial production rises 0.7% in april, beats estimates

US industrial production rises 0.7% in april, beats estimates

US industrial production rebounded strongly in April, while retail sales continued to show resilience despite mounting inflationary pressures across the economy. According to data released on Friday by

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May 15, 2026
US retail sales increase 0.5% despite inflation pressures

US retail sales increase 0.5% despite inflation pressures

 US retail sales rose in April, signalling continued resilience in consumer spending even as inflationary pressures intensified across the economy. According to data released Thursday by the US

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May 14, 2026
US retail sales show resilience despite cost pressures, ING warns of risks

US retail sales show resilience despite cost pressures, ING warns of risks

US retail sales rose 0.5% in April, underscoring resilience in household spending despite higher gasoline prices and weak consumer confidence.  ING Economics said the figures highlight the ability

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May 14, 2026
PPI shows strongest rise since 2022 as energy inflation surges

PPI shows strongest rise since 2022 as energy inflation surges

US wholesale inflation accelerated sharply in April, underscoring growing price pressures across the economy as higher energy costs and supply chain disruptions continued to ripple through businesses. The

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May 13, 2026
ING warns Belgium’s inflation shock could spread across Europe

ING warns Belgium’s inflation shock could spread across Europe

Belgium’s sudden inflation spike in April, driven by an energy shock spilling into wider consumer prices, has prompted ING Economics to warn of a dangerous pattern that could

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May 13, 2026
US inflation rises to 3.8%, highest since May 2023, as energy prices surge

US inflation rises to 3.8%, highest since May 2023, as energy prices surge

US consumer inflation accelerated to 3.8% in April, marking its highest annual increase since May, 2023 as rising energy prices linked to tensions in the Middle East pushed

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May 12, 2026
Private credit returns weaken as loan distress deepens, MSCI finds

Private credit returns weaken as loan distress deepens, MSCI finds

Private credit funds have marked down more than a tenth of their loans by at least 50%, according to new data released by MSCI, highlighting mounting pressure on

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May 12, 2026

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